The NFL’s Uncertain Offseason

18 01 2011

Everybody seems to love the NFL, as their ratings show. The New York Jets-New England Patriots matchup last Sunday received 43 million viewers, the highest number ever for the NFL’s playoff divisional round. The league can’t seem to do anything wrong. Of course, the one way they can shoot themselves in the foot is to enforce a work stoppage. That seems like an eminent possibility as the league and the Player’s Association bicker publicly about a Collective Bargaining Agreement which expires March 4.

If a deal isn’t in place by March 4, the owners will likely lock the players out, forcing the NFL’s first work stoppage since 1987. Given that free agency will effectively stop with a work stoppage, I thought it would be relevant to assess what questions NFL teams need to consider now, in case that work stoppage actually occurs. I spoke with two former NFL team executives and a sports economist to find out what questions are most relevant to answer.

NFL CBA (print version)

NFL CBA (Web version)





Talking with Clyde

8 11 2010

Walt “Clyde” Frazier is one cool man. In fact, he uses the word “man” quite often when in a conversation. That’s what I discovered last Friday night when I conducted a phone interview with the former Knicks great. Hopefully, you know what Frazier has contributed to the Knicks and to the NBA. If not, read his bio at NBA.com right now: here. He’s known for his wide-ranging vocabulary, but it’s his sharp opinions that make him such a great person to speak with. Read below what he had to say on several issues pertaining to the NBA.

Click the link below to read the story:

Walt Frazier interview





Nets preview; I go on a diet

29 10 2010

Before I wrote my Knicks preview for amNew York, I came out with a Nets season outlook. I just didn’t realize it until my editor pointed out that out to me after I had asked him when the Nets post would, well, post. So here’s about as in-depth look at the Nets as you will get in under 400 words. (Thanks to Dennis Velasco from NetsAreScorching.com and NBA TV’s Bones Barry.)

Click on the link below to read the story:

Nets 2010 preview

I also wrote a story for AOL Health’s That’s Fit microsite about a diet I was on for little over a week. It involved eliminating meat, eggs, dairy, oil and processed food to concentrate on fruit, vegetables, whole grains and legumes. Sounds amazing, doesn’t it? A friend pointed out to me that what I went through was less a diet and more of a detox. Point taken, but my editor wanted the story back in a timely manner. Waiting two months for me to go through all the withdrawals likely experienced from not eating chicken or peanut butter or potato chips just wasn’t an option. You can read about my experience with the diet below.

Click on the link below to read the story:

We Tried It – Bill Clinton’s Heart-Healthy Diet





Mike Breen interview, Knicks preview

27 10 2010

I have a couple new stories that in one way go hand-in-hand. First up is an interview with NBA play-by-play announcer Mike Breen for SLAMonline. New Yorkers recognize him as the lead voice of Knicks games on MSG Network. NBA fans nationwide recognize Breen as the lead voice for ESPN/ABC’s NBA telecasts. Breen is the voice of reason when game analysts Mark Jackson and Jeff Van Gundy become mired in yet another disagreement. (I do like this announcing team, by the way.) Breen was gracious with his time; here is the result of a 34-minute phone discussion about Breen’s responsibilities as a play-by-play commentator.

Click the link below to read the story:

Mike Breen Q + A

Next up is a Knicks preview for amNew York. I spoke with NBA TV analyst Dennis Scott for this one. You might remember Scott as the sharp-shooting small forward on those Shaq-Penny Orlando Magic teams from the early-mid ’90s. (They were my preferred team on NBA Live ’95. Just like everybody else who played that legendary game.) I’m excited for the Knicks and, more importantly, my friends who are Knicks fans. I’m tired of them being so depressed. Something good needs to happen with this franchise. The Knicks won’t be a championship contender, but perhaps competing for the playoffs will resuscitate this dead fan base.

Click the link below to read the story:

Knicks 2010 preview





Your 2011 Mets Manager

5 10 2010

Guessing who’ll become the next Mets manager is a tough ordeal. For one thing, it’s all but agreed among experts that the Mets won’t pick a manager until a general manager is in place. That GM, whoever it becomes, will likely have a heavy stake in who becomes manager.

But as an American League executive made clear to me yesterday, the Mets’ pick for general manager is contingent on which direction they want to go. Does Mets ownership want to hire a GM and manager who want to salvage the roster and make a playoff run now? Johan Santana will be 32 next Opening Day, which he won’t be available for given he’s coming off his second knee surgery in as many seasons. Carlos Beltran will turn 34 next April, which wouldn’t be a huge development if it weren’t for the fact he moved around center field this past season like he was 44. Jason Bay, he of the six homers in 95 games played this past season, will be 31 next season. Francisco Rodriguez will be 29 next season, but it’s an old 29. His fastball lost nearly two miles per hour vs. its velocity in 2009, according to data on fangraphs.com. Not all is lost in Mets land.

Jose Reyes is still just 27 and came back this year to hit .282 and swipe 30 bases. He’s not all the way back but this was likely his transition season from surgery; he could be ready for a big year in 2011. David Wright is also only 27. He returned to All-Star form this season by mashing 29 home runs, eliminating doubt created in 2009 that he lost his power. Of course, a rundown of Johan, Beltran, Bay, K-Rod, Reyes and Wright brings up one major problem. That crew of six players will cost the Mets approximately $83 million in salaries next season. (That’s assuming the Mets pick up their $11 million club option on Reyes, which is a move virtually guaranteed no matter who takes over as GM.) That’s a six-player number that is higher than 14 team payrolls from this season, including that of the NL Central champion Reds ($72.3M), the AL East champion Rays ($71.9M) and the NL West champion Rangers ($55.2M).

The other route to go is to trade a few key players, reel in some high-end prospects and rebuild for 2013-14. That’s probably not a realistic path given the pressure of playing in New York. The team has too many stars in-place, and has performed too poorly the past two seasons, to convince its fan base a rebuilding effort is needed. So, the general manager will likely try to sign some notable free agents and hope the new manager can spring this ballclub to life. Here’s an early look at who could lead them.

Click the link below to read the story:

Mets managerial candidates





Turn around your season

8 07 2010

This is a time of the fantasy baseball season where it pays off to trade for a player who’s about to heat up. It also is a time where it might make the most sense not to trade the guy who you’re peddling to the rest of your league. Here are five gentlemen who you should expect to heat up or stay hot after the All-Star break.

Click on the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (2nd half stars)





Searching for relief

26 05 2010

Relief pitchers are the toughest position of ballplayers to judge for fantasy baseball. For reasons unknown to me, the cycle of a reliever’s career can be as adventurous as the Dow Jones average the last couple years. I really can’t theorize why so many relievers suffer from consistency issues, but it’s a struggle to stay in touch with the ones year-to-year who can help your fantasy squad.

A reliever might not pitch often enough to have a significant effect on your team’s ERA and WHIP. What they can do is give you a enough strikeouts during a week, six to eight or nine, to have the effect of another starter. That extra boost of K’s can be the difference in whether you win or lose the K category in a head-to-head format, and it can be a healthy addition to your K total in roto leagues.

As I note in this amNew York story, here are seven relievers to grab if you have room for bullpen guys who aren’t closers.

Click the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (Relief choices)





Injured MLBers

12 05 2010

Here is a story in today’s amNew York regarding MLB players who are injured and their replacements. I would like to have known more about Josh Beckett and Ryan Braun’s status before writing this but such is the life of deadlines.

Click on the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (Injury Replacements 2010)





Fantasy MLB no namers

29 04 2010

Every fantasy baseball league has a few guys on the free agent list who should be owned. If you spot any of these four players on your league’s list, you should know what to do.

Click the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (No Namers)





MLB’s hot and cold players

15 04 2010

I’m trying to finish a pair of lengthy articles, so I’ll make it quick. Major League Baseball’s first full week of games brought with it the first wave of hot and cold players to analyze. Which of these guys will continue their good/bad play and which will turn it around? I guess you’ll just have to read the story to find out.

Click the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (Hot/Cold players)





Repair draft day mistakes

31 03 2010

Mistakes are an inevitable part of any fantasy baseball draft. Nobody can get through an entire selection process unscathed, but recognizing what errors you made can separate you from your league cohorts at the beginning of the season.

For instance, any team employing Joba Chamberlain in a standard league isn’t paying attention to the order of the Yankees starting rotation and bullpen. Other players also coast on name recognition. Don’t be one of the fantasy owners who’ll regret sticking with the former star. Go after players who’ve slipped below the radar. Here are five to consider before the season begins.

Click the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (Draft day fixes)





Under-the-radar MLB closers

24 03 2010

It’s not always easy to find a capable MLB closer. Sometimes they pop up out of nowhere, as was the case with David Aardsma in Seattle last season. Others disappoint, such as Brad Lidge last year. Closer situations are always so tenuous, which is a byproduct of pitchers’ susceptibility to injury and the fleeting nature of the position. Blow a save and a closer can find his job on the line.

In this amNew York story, I analyzed five closer situations to watch in the next few weeks. A couple situations have a clear direction while a couple more have yet to be unresolved. Any of the players recommended in the story are worthy of pickups in all formats.

Click on the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (Closer situations)





Fantasy baseball drafting strategy

17 03 2010

Drafting for your fantasy baseball team shouldn’t be complicated. My general rule-of-thumb is to take the best available player. How does it get any simpler? I’m apt to avoid pitchers until at least Round 6 or 7, but it’s perfectly reasonable when other owners choose a hurler or two in the first five or six rounds.

What I wanted to accomplish with the following amNew York article is to give casual readers a clear understanding of what to expect during the first eight rounds of a 12-team league draft, assuming a standard scoring system (R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP). Although there are too many different draft strategies to list within this space, there is generally a sound way of crafting a team: Make sure you have at least three position players who produce high amounts of home runs and RBIs while doing your best to balance your squad from hitting and pitching perspectives. No kidding, you say? Well, read the story below to find out more specifics about what to expect in each of the first eight rounds.

Click on the link below to read the story.

Fantasy MLB (Round-by-round strategy)

You can follow amNew York sports on Twitter: @amNYsports

You can also follow me on Twitter: @NYsportswriter





How to predict fantasy baseball production

10 03 2010

I’ve adapted my approach to fantasy sports during the last year. I value having fun more than ever in fantasy sports, as I really can’t take it as seriously as others in the industry. I enjoy playing the game but delving into complicated mathematical formulas just doesn’t do it for me. Lord knows some guys have to because it’s their full-time job. More power to them.

I prefer to use easy-to-understand metrics for predicting future performance. Sometimes that’s all you need, and the five stats I outlined in a new amNew York article go a long way to helping understand why a player has performed the way he has and how he might perform in the future. Hope you enjoy and remember — fantasy sports are meant for you to have fun. Try to leave the algebraic stuff aside.

Click on the link below to read the story:

Fantasy MLB (Peripheral stats)





In favor of the NY soda tax

8 03 2010

One of the few good ideas proposed by New York governor David Paterson during his governership — and recently backed by New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg — is a soda tax, a.k.a. fat tax, that would attribute a penny per ounce to soda, flavored water, iced tea and other sugary drinks sold at convenience and grocery stores. (Diet sodas would not be included.)

This proposal acknowledges that the increased risk of sugary drinks can lead to short- and long-term health problems, which eventually stress health care and add to the cost of an already expensive system. I agree that these goods, which are generally poor for people’s health, should be taxed. Cigarette taxes in New York City were raised by $.62 per pack last year because of nicotine. People can’t smoke in bars, restaurants or at the work place. Beer, wine and liquor are taxed because of alcohol in New York City, from $.12 to a $1 per gallon.

While the sugar from sodas aren’t as directly destructive as nicotine or alcohol, they still contribute mightily to poor health. The Brooklyn Food Coalition reported in a Web site post last year that that a Harvard Medical School study found that each additional 12 ounce sugary soda consumed per day increases the odds of a child becoming obese by 60 percent.

And yet bodega owners are complaining to New York City’s papers that the penny-per-ounce tax will “kill small local businesses,” according to one bodega owner in an amNew York story. If you buy a Sprite on a regular basis, would you make the decision not to buy it if it costs an extra 12 or 16 or 24 cents? Chances are you’ll be willing to fork over the extra quarter, or dime and two pennies. Plus, the bodega owners probably make most of their money off cigarette and alcohol sales in the first place. An extra 12 or 16 cents per Coke or Sprite isn’t going to be the tipping point in their business’ fortunes.

If nothing else, our government, whether it’s on a federal, state or local level, has a social responsibility to look out for the public’s general health. There is a seemingly never-ending amount of evidence that our society can’t protect itself from its drink and food choices. Too many people eat what they want and not necessarily what’s best for their long-term health.

If paying 12 or 16 or 24 extra cents to purchase a drink is what it takes to drive down soda consumption and possibly help steer people toward healthier choices, then it’s a great move. But if people continue to consume as they had on a pre-tax level, then the $400 million or more that could be generated on an annual basis from the soda tax, as has been reported, is a piece of pie that our city and state government could use, hopefully to a positive effect.








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